国际环境不确定下海外采矿权评估研究

在实物期权理论框架下,基于Black-Schole采矿权评估模型,提出了计量国际环境不确定性的方法以及将其纳入评估模型的途径,以此优化完善海外采矿权评估; 通过一实例验证了本文所述方法的可行性,并依据评估结果进一步分析了投资策略,最后对所提方法的可靠性进行了检验。研究结果显示: ① 采矿权价值来自于矿业权人对矿产资源的开采加工及具有灵活经营的权利,国际环境的不确定变化影响采矿权价值及投资策略。② 矿产品价格升高、价格波动率增加、驻在国矿业行业环境和国家环境变异程度的增加、矿山服务年限的增加,均提高了海外采矿权价值; 但矿产品价格下降、矿山服务年限减少将降低采矿权价值。③ 当矿产品价格持续处于低位时,项目应尽早建设或放弃; 而当价格处于增长或高位时,项目可适当推迟建设。④ 老挝矿业行业环境的变异程度大于该国国家环境的变异程度,前往老挝投资的矿企应重点关注该国涉及矿业投资的法律法规及政策,重点防范行业风险。⑤ 本文所提海外采矿权评估方法是可行、可靠的,具有一定实践意义。     

数字化射线检测技术在船舶领域的应用

随着数字射线检测技术的不断发展,CR与DR数字射线检测技术以其检测灵敏度高、检测速度快及底片数据电子化存储等优势越来越广泛地应用于各行业中。针对船舶行业射线检测的主要检测对象(钢板对接焊缝、管路对接焊缝),开展了CR数字射线检测技术等价性评价、典型裂纹试验,以及基于不同种类射线装置的DR数字射线检测工艺试验,验证了数字化射线检测技术在船舶领域应用的适用性。     

专业认证背景下铸造工艺课程设计教学改革的探讨

工程教育专业认证是保证、改进教育质量的重要途经,是以专业全体学生的学习结果为认证的主要目标。铸造工艺课程设计是综合性较强的专业核心课程,对于学生综合能力培养具有重要作用。本文基于对重庆大学材料成型及控制工程专业铸造工艺课程设计课程目标达成情况的分析,对课程教学的教学设计、组织形式、实施方法以及学业成绩评价等方面进行了改进,突出"以学生为中心"的工程应用水平和创新能力的培养。     

Quantitative analysis of fuel-saving potential for waste heat recovery system integrated with hybrid electric vehicle

Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) with low fuel consumption, low emissions, and long driving range are the ideal transition models between conventional fuel vehicles and pure electric vehicles. The growing demand for increased vehicle efficiency has motivated the introduction of waste heat recovery (WHR) technology in the automotive industry, with the organic Rankine cycle (ORC) as the most promising measure for recycling waste energy. Currently, only a few studies have been conducted to couple HEV and WHR systems. These studies have mainly focused on the hybrid powertrain control strategy, but lack quantitative methods to comprehensively analyze the fuel-saving potential due to the WHR system. In this study, an HEV-WHR integrated system that includes a mechanism-based dynamic model of ORC and a hybrid diesel-electric truck model is established. Further, a quantitative evaluation method that simultaneously considers the negative integrated effects (increased vehicle weight and increased exhaust back pressure) and the positive impact values of the engine, motor, and WHR system on the fuel-saving potential is proposed. Finally, the influence of two environmental factors (wind speed and ambient temperature) on the fuel-saving performance is analyzed. The results reveal that under the standard highway driving cycle (HWY), the negative integrated effects reduce the ideal fuel-saving potential of the HEV-WHR system from 6.10% to 5.42%. However, the optimized performances of the engine, motor, and WHR system improve the fuel-saving rate by 0.39%, 1.81%, and 3.22%, respectively. The results also indicate that the fuel-saving potential increases from 1.62% to 8.60% with increasing wind speed and decreases from 6.70% to 4.25% with increasing ambient temperature.     

Analytical framework for ex-post evaluation of transport projects: Lessons learnt on retrospective CBA

This study deals with the ex-post evaluation of ten major transport projects which were co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund and the Cohesion Fund in the period 2000–2013 and located across nine EU Member States. The original contribution of this study is represented by the combination of the traditional ex-post Cost–Benefit approach with a qualitative analysis. Specifically, a retrospective Cost–Benefit analysis is used to quantify the benefits and costs of the projects, then interviews to relevant stakeholders were carried out. Ex-post CBA, when appropriately implemented and integrated with qualitative evidence, represents a powerful tool for supporting decision-making processes and for policy lessons.     

基于双谱特征的行星齿轮箱故障诊断方法

为了研究行星齿轮箱齿面磨损全生命周期实验的退化过程,使用了可以抑制高斯噪声和对信号中产生的频率耦合进行解耦的双谱方法去进行故障特征提取,提出了两个基于双谱的特征指标,双谱熵以及非高斯强度,并通过特征指标评价方法去检验其指标性能。结果表明基于双谱熵具有良好的指标性能,而且对于行星齿轮箱齿面磨损的早期微弱故障十分敏感,适用于行星齿轮箱齿面磨损的故障诊断。     

Multi-stage intelligent operation optimization for a hydrocracking fractionation system with a multi-fractionator series-parallel structure

A fractionation system is an essential unit in the hydrocracking process. Its optimal operation is challenging because of the complexity in the structure of the distillation tower and composition of the stream. In addition, the series-parallel structure between the distillation towers of different techniques aggravates the coupling and complexity of the hydrocracking fractionation system (HFS). This, in turn, increases the time complexity of the optimization problem. In this paper, a rigorous mechanism model of an actual HFS is first applied to describe the operating conditions of the HFS. Then, an improved state transition algorithm (STA) with a staged evaluation strategy is proposed to solve the above problem. To overcome problems caused by the series-parallel structure of HFS, the model is divided into multiple stages for evaluation by mechanism analysis. Furthermore, several typical convergence estimation criteria are introduced to reduce unnecessary model calculations. To solve time-consuming problems associated with HFS optimization, the adaptive change operator is used to improve the search function of the original algorithm and two performance criteria are presented to reduce the optimization time. The proposed algorithm is successfully applied to the operational parameter optimization problem of HFS with a multi-fractionator series-parallel structure. The experimental results indicated that the staged evaluation strategy improved the fast convergence probability of the HFS mechanism model and reduced unnecessary calculations, whereas the improved algorithm increased accuracy and significantly decreased optimization time.     

基于RBF神经网络的露天矿爆破效果预测研究

露天矿爆破是一个受诸多因素共同影响的系统工程,是露天开采的重要环节之一,其爆破效果的优劣直接影响后续工序的完成。提高爆破技术水平和爆破质量,对矿山安全和生产具有重要的意义。本文通过随机森林选择影响爆破效果的主要参数,结合模糊评价确定爆破综合效果,建立了RBF神经网络爆破效果预测模型。将该模型应用于矿山爆破效果预测中,并将爆破现场实测的11组数据作为模型训练样本,另外5组现场数据作为预测样本进行测试,通过与BP神经网络比较,发现RBF神经网络的预测性能更为优越,可广泛应用于现场实践中。     

基于K-均值聚类与贝叶斯判别的我国煤矿顶板灾害事故安全评价

顶板事故是我国煤矿安全生产中的重大隐患,开展顶板灾害事故安全评价,识别顶板灾害危险性是煤矿安全生产亟待解决的问题。本文在文献调研的基础上,对影响顶板灾害的影响因素进行分析,从自然因素、技术因素和管理因素三个方面构建了顶板灾害安全评价指标体系,结合专家意见对各评价指标进行量化,采用K-均值聚类与贝叶斯判别的方法对我国顶板灾害安全水平进行评价,以我国煤矿实际样本数据为研究对象开展实证分析。研究结果表明:基于K-均值聚类与贝叶斯判别的煤矿顶板安全评价方法具有较高的准确度,能够用于定量化描述煤矿顶板灾害危险,具有一定的应用前景。     

某大理岩矿山采空区稳定性评价与综合治理对策研究

某大理岩矿山采用房柱法进行开采,遗留了大量尚未充填的采空区,成为矿区及周边地区重大的安全隐患。基于采场的三维模型,选取代表性区域建立数值计算模型,利用FLAC_^3D软件进行稳定性分析。模拟结果表明,塑性区破坏以剪切破坏为主,仅存在于?90 m水平采空区拐角处,未贯通且分布范围有限,其影响深度约向围岩内部深入0.4～1.0 m,说明岩体的破坏发生在浅层,采空区不会发生大规模失稳,整体稳定性良好；结合模糊综合评判,将采空区按照稳定性划分为稳定性良好、较稳定和较不稳定三类区域。在此基础上,提出了四种采空区综合治理方案,并从方案的技术可行性、经济性和治理效果进行分析对比,确定方案一为首选方案。从而为采空区治理和综合利用、城市发展规划提供依据。